Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(516 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,203.4}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.5)}}\) (asimptote \(2,203.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $103$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(18.3 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103.5}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.0)}}\) (asimptote \(103.5\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $39$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $41,883$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(3.06 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{42,458.5}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 63.2)}}\) (asimptote \(42,458.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,562$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(512 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,483.9}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 45.5)}}\) (asimptote \(4,483.9\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $37,321$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,504$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(2.44 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(46.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,168.2}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 31.7)}}\) (asimptote \(8,168.2\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $238$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(63 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{231.6}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 29.2)}}\) (asimptote \(231.6\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $128$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,911$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(1 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,899.3}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 48.0)}}\) (asimptote \(6,899.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $322$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(54 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(26.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{316.3}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 35.2)}}\) (asimptote \(316.3\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $789$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,011$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(2.31 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(35.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,741.1}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 40.8)}}\) (asimptote \(11,741.1\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $582$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(134 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{565.8}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 32.2)}}\) (asimptote \(565.8\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $609$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,806$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(613 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,802.9}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,802.9\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(3.99 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(49.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,767$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(1.06 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{56,901.5}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 41.1)}}\) (asimptote \(56,901.5\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,548$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(1.7 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,223.9}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.4)}}\) (asimptote \(9,223.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,171$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $283,079$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(2.97 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{281,829.5}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 51.9)}}\) (asimptote \(281,829.5\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $39,987$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(5.44 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{38,073.6}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 42.8)}}\) (asimptote \(38,073.6\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $241,873$ on 2020-06-04
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $234,013$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(4.87 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{227,947.3}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 42.3)}}\) (asimptote \(227,947.3\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,689$ on 2020-06-04
Best fit exponential: \(6.1 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,615.3}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 44.4)}}\) (asimptote \(32,615.3\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $38,429$ on 2020-06-04
